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NWS Frost Advisory (Buncombe County)

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Weaverville , NC
Station located in Creekside Village. Courtesy of weather.relloz.com/wx.htm

Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, December 20, 2020 at 11:26AM

Some Bark, Little Bite

Some early morning light rain (and higher elevation wintry mix) has exited leaving partly sunny skies behind for the afternoon. A bit more spotty light rain will be possible tonight, but there really won’t be much precipitation to talk about. Sunshine returns on Monday, and it will be a bit milder. Tuesday will be slightly cooler, but with full sunshine. The hard part of the forecast will be Christmas Eve and Christmas Day when we expect a soaking rain to turn to snow or snow showers along with dramatically colder air.

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Sunday

Hi: 52 Lo: 32

Early clouds/sprinkles; Partly sunny; More clouds & spotty light rain or sprinkles possible tonight; Light wind
Monday

Hi: 54 Lo: 33

Mostly sunny & pleasant; Light west wind becoming NW 10-20 mph gusting to 40 Monday night
Tuesday

Hi: 48 Lo: 27

Mostly sunny; A bit cooler; NW wind 10-20 mph gusting to 40 early, then diminishing
Wednesday

Hi: 52 Lo: 37

Mostly sunny & pleasant; More clouds arriving Wednesday night with rain likely late
Thursday

Hi: 50 Lo: 24

Steady rain, perhaps heavy at times; Rain changing to snow Christmas Eve night

Further Out

Friday - AM flurries possible; Becoming mostly clear & cold for Christmas; High in the upper 20s; Low in the upper teens
Saturday - Clear, but continued cold; High in the upper 30s; Low in the upper teens

Forecast Discussion

A couple of weak impulses moving quickly through the flow aloft will generate a weak low in the northeast Gulf of Mexico today that will exit the Florida east coast on Monday morning. There will be spotty light rain with this, but the majority of the meaningful precipitation will be in the eastern part of North Carolina.

Sunshine returns on Monday, then another disturbance will slide by to our north Monday night, kicking up the winds and then yielding a cooler Tuesday around the mountains.

Wednesday just might be the pick of the week with high pressure providing sunshine and slightly milder temperatures.

What we are all watching is the development of a powerful cold front that will bring a soaking rain to the mountains on Christmas Eve Day. Detail differences abound among the models, but the most likely scenario today suggests a changeover to snow or snow showers after dark on Christmas Eve (perhaps just in time for Santa), then a continuation of snow showers and flurries on what looks to be a very cold Christmas Day.

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