NWS Winter Weather Advisory (Buncombe County)

Current Conditions
Black Mtn

Temp: 34.4°F

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, December 12, 2019 at 11:43AM

Nice Thursday; Some Ice Looms

High pressure to our north provides plenty of sunshine today with seasonably cool temperatures. The weather forecast gets interesting tonight as low pressure develops to the SE and moisture spreads in from the north. And with the moisture falling into a cold air mass here at the surface, freezing rain will be the result beginning around and just after midnight. Accumulation of ice will be less than 0.10" of an inch, with the greatest concentration of ice along the Blue Ridge. The freezing rain changes to all rain early tomorrow morning as temperatures slowly nudge their way above the 32 mark. Rain continues through the remainder of the day on Friday and ends by midday on Saturday,

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Thursday Hi: 44 Lo: 29 Mostly sunny; Remains chilly; Increasing clouds Thur. night with freezing rain developing around midnight; Light wind

Friday Hi: 43 Lo: 39 Cloudy; AM freezing rain, especially along the Blue Ridge, changing to a cold rain early to mid morning: Light SE wind

Saturday Hi: 52 Lo: 33 Mostly cloudy; Showers, mainly through midday; NW wind 5-15 mph

Sunday Hi: 51 Lo: 34 Scattered clouds; Nice for mid-December; Clouds increase Sunday night

Monday Hi: 56 Lo: 38 Mostly cloudy; A few showers during the day; More concentrated rain Monday night

Further Out

Tuesday - Mostly cloudy; Morning rain; Clearing and colder Tuesday night; Becomes breezy; High in the lower 50s; Low in the mid 20s
Wednesday - Mostly sunny; Seasonably chilly; High in the mid 40s; Low in the lower 20s

Forecast Discussion

High pressure over the interior Northeast wedges down the eastern side of the Appalachians and keeps sunny but cold weather with us for our Thursday.

The interesting part of the weather forecast starts tonight as low pressure develops to our south and begins a journey up the eastern seaboard Friday into Saturday. With cold air locked in place, freezing rain develops around midnight and continues into the early morning hours on Friday. Cold holdouts along the Blue Ridge may contend with freezing rain a few hours longer, but the transition is inevitable. Ice amounts should tally no more than 0.10" of an inch, with the highest amounts right along the Blue Ridge. After the transition from frozen to all liquid tomorrow morning, a cold rain sets up through the remainder of the day with temperatures struggling to reach the 40-degree mark. Rain continues Friday night however with warmer air starting to work in from the south, temperatures should remain steady or slowly rise a degree or two Friday night.

Rain lingers through Saturday morning as the low moves up the SE coast. Winds shift to the northwest Saturday night with some colder air moving in from the NW. Snow showers are possible across the higher mountains near the NC/TN line Saturday night however for the rest of us, it mainly clouds but generally dry. Nice and dry weather is expected to finish the weekend on Sunday.

The next system affecting our weather will be low pressure approaching from Texas early next week with an associated front moving through early Tuesday morning. Clouds return Monday and rain develops. Rain ends Tuesday morning.

Cold Canadian high pressure overtakes our region Tuesday. Temperatures fall Tuesday afternoon. Expect a cold but dry Tuesday night and Wednesday.

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