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NWS Freeze Warning (Buncombe County)

NWS Wind Advisory (Buncombe County)

NWS Winter Weather Advisory (Buncombe County)

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Asheville , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Friday, October 31, 2014 at 6:51PM

Halloween Howler

Tomorrow you will be scratching your head, but first...tonight. Light rain showers move in this evening. It won't be a washout for Trick-or-Treaters, just be prepared to have a damp costume when it's all said and done.

Onto the drama...rain showers change to snow showers after midnight (earlier above 3500'). Snow showers continue Saturday mixing with a little light rain in the core hours of the afternoon (but remaining snow/flurries above 3000'). Wind will also be an issue with gusts to 40 mph. Snow showers taper to flurries late Saturday night making way for the sun to return Sunday. We've upped the snowfall ante, 1"-4" with higher amounts in the Smokies and northern mountains. See our Total Snow Accumulation Map for details.

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Friday

Hi: 56 Lo: 31

Cloudy; Evening rain showers changing to snow showers after midnight (but earlier above 3500'); NW wind 15-25 mph & gusty
Saturday

Hi: 39 Lo: 28

Cloudy & cold; Windy; AM snow showers mixing with light rain in the afternoon, back to snow showers and flurries at night; NW wind 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph
Sunday

Hi: 47 Lo: 27

Sunny skies; Still cool though not as chilly; NW 10-20 mph & gusty early, diminishing to 5-15 mph in the PM
Monday

Hi: 59 Lo: 35

Sunny skies; Several notches milder
Tuesday

Hi: 64 Lo: 43

Scattered clouds; Pleasant

Further Out

Wednesday - Partly cloudy; Widely scattered PM showers; High in the mid 60s; Low in the mid 40s
Thursday - Morning clouds; Nice finish; High in the mid 60s; Low in the lower 40s

Forecast Discussion

An intense and compact upper level low drops southeast through the Ohio Valley this evening and departs through SC Saturday dragging unseasonably cold air with it. This energy spawns an area of low pressure in eastern NC Saturday that darts up the east coast as a large Nor'easter Sunday. Rain showers will move in this evening then gradually transition to snow showers after midnight (a little earlier above 3500').

Snow showers and flurries continue Saturday with light rain mixing in during the afternoon as temperatures slowly climb above freezing (above 3000', though, we expect any precip to remain frozen). In addition to the snow, wind gusts to 40 mph will add to the "shock and awe" effect making it seem worse at times. Snow showers taper to flurries late Saturday night and early Sunday.

The warm ground will hold back snow totals to an extent...when it's over expect 1"-4" for Asheville proper with the higher totals for northern and western Buncombe and the shallow end just south of Hendersonville. The Smokies and highest westward facing elevations near the TN line will get get a wallop, more like 8"-10".

We'll bounce back rather quickly after some cold mornings, Sunday will be cool for November, but not nearly as bad. Temperatures continue their rebound next week to seasonal levels by Tuesday. Our next chance for rain enters the picture briefly late Wednesday.

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