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NWS Wind Advisory (Buncombe County)

NWS Flash Flood Watch (Buncombe County)

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Asheville , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, October 4, 2015 at 6:58AM

Gradual Improvements

There is light at the end of the tunnel! We may actually see some of it by Monday afternoon, definitely Tuesday. Overcast skies and passing showers continue today, generally more bark than bite, but the rain gear is still a must. The passing shower threat continues overnight and Monday morning before some clearing becomes possible tomorrow afternoon.
Tuesday, oh Tuesday, the muck is finally gone. It will literally be a sight for sore eyes...
The rest of the work week is filled with incredible early Fall conditions.

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Hi: 63 Lo: 59

Cloudy; Scattered showers; NE wind 10-15 mph & gusty

Hi: 70 Lo: 53

Perhaps an early shower; Warmer with some afternoon sun possible; NE wind 5-10 mph

Hi: 74 Lo: 52

Breakthrough to mostly sunny; Nearly picture perfect; Light wind

Hi: 76 Lo: 52

Lots of sunshine; Pleasant

Hi: 74 Lo: 51

Partly cloudy; Nice

Further Out

Friday - Increasing afternoon clouds; Maybe a shower Fri. night; High in the mid 70s; Low in the lower 50s
Saturday - Partly sunny; Isolated daytime showers; High in the lower 70s; Low in the lower 50s

Forecast Discussion

In terms of key players the weather map doesn't look terribly different from the last couple of days. However, there have been enough changes for improvements to slowly occur.

High pressure centered over Quebec that wedged down the eastern side of the Appalachians Friday begins to loosen its grip today. It stays cool, but a small temperature bump is a hint towards things to come. Joaquin is still a powerful hurricane. The storm passes just west of Bermuda today and then begins a consistent northeast journey into the open north Atlantic. The upper level low that is primarily responsible for our wet weather (and devastating flooding in SC) is moving east from southern Georgia to off the Florida coast Monday.

Clouds, gusty wind, and passing showers stick around today. The persistent rainfall is over and it's just a waiting game until the upper low is far enough east that we begin to completely dry out. That happens Monday. We won't promise any sunshine tomorrow, but there's a chance for a few breakthrough hours by late afternoon.

Tuesday through Friday are stupendous, the calm after the storm. A cool front approaches from the west late Friday or Saturday (timing is in question). Fortunately, we don't expect much rain with the front. Given the uncertainty of the frontal passage we've introduced a shower mention late Friday and Saturday.


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