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Asheville , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Wednesday, September 2, 2015 at 12:55PM

Continued Warm

The seasonably warm conditions continue through Friday. Each day plays out about the same, plenty of morning sun with afternoon cloud build-ups and isolated showers. More "September-esque" weather arrives this weekend as greater cloud cover and a northeasterly wind reverses the warm spell. Recent history has proved it's been tough to buy a shower or two, but we'll remain more optimistic for a better chance of rain Saturday and Sunday, no washouts.

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Hi: 86 Lo: 65

Partly sunny & very warm; Renegade PM shower or t-shower; Light wind

Hi: 86 Lo: 64

A good deal of sunshine; Isolated PM shower or t-shower; Very warm; NW wind 5-10 mph

Hi: 85 Lo: 65

Partly sunny warm; Widely-separated PM showers or t-showers; Light wind

Hi: 79 Lo: 64

Mostly cloudy; Scattered PM showers & t-showers; A bit cooler

Hi: 79 Lo: 64

Mostly cloudy; Widely scattered to scattered showers

Further Out

Monday - Partly cloudy & nice for Labor Day; Small risk for a pop-up PM shower; High in the lower 80s; Low in the mid 60s
Tuesday - Scattered clouds; Cannot rule out a PM shower or t-shower; High in the lower 80s; Low in the lower 60s

Forecast Discussion

The next few days still don't feel like early September but that will change by Labor Day weekend. We're basically stuck in a rut as broad high pressure keeps the warm trend going until a backdoor cool front arrives late Friday. "Backdoor" meaning the front comes from the north instead of the west. The subtle frontal passage promotes a slight uptick in shower or thundershower coverage Friday (that's not saying much).

Behind the front high pressure wedges down the eastern slopes of the Appalachians this weekend. A moist easterly to northeasterly upslope flow promotes healthy cloud cover Saturday and Sunday. Afternoon temperatures turn from seasonally warm to a few degrees below normal in-part due to the cloudy skies. The coverage of showers is more in question this weekend. For now, we'll hold to the idea of scattered to widely scattered showers both Saturday and Sunday. The takeaway is probably more bark than bite with lots of clouds and not much rain.

The wedge configuration slowly erodes Monday with more sunshine and temperatures jumping up a few notches. Labor Day looks pretty good for outdoor activities minus the proverbial rogue afternoon shower mention.


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