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Asheville , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, December 18, 2014 at 12:33PM

More Clouds Today

A weakening system moving through today will make for cloudier skies at times compared to yesterday, but other than a few sprinkles, it stays dry. With the clouds, temperatures will be a touch cooler today as well. Clouds decrease tonight leading to a mostly sunny start to the day Friday. However, clouds quickly increase in the afternoon with light rain breaking out late Friday night. Light rain showers continue on into Saturday, tapering off by late-afternoon. The next system is quick on the heels of Saturday’s system and is expected to bring another round of rain to western NC late Sunday afternoon into early Monday morning. For details on the all-important Christmas Day forecast, check out the discussion section below.

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Thursday

Hi: 51 Lo: 30

Partly sunny; Can't rule out a few sprinkles; NW wind 5-15 mph
Friday

Hi: 50 Lo: 34

Increasing clouds; Light rain develops late Fri. night; North wind 5-10 mph
Saturday

Hi: 40 Lo: 34

Cloudy with daytime rain showers (snow may mix in on the highest ridge tops); Light south wind
Sunday

Hi: 47 Lo: 36

Mostly cloudy; Rain possible late-day through Sun. night
Monday

Hi: 47 Lo: 37

Mostly cloudy; Cool; AM rain showers possible

Further Out

Tuesday - Mostly cloudy; Showers possible in the afternoon & Tue. night; High in the lower 50s; Low in the upper 30s
Wednesday - Mostly to partly cloudy; High in the upper 40s; Low in the lower 30s

Forecast Discussion

An upper level disturbance is moving across the southern Appalachians early this afternoon. There is a lot of dry air across western NC which we expect will limit any precipitation to just a few sprinkles.

Attention then turns to an area of low pressure that is forecast to develop along the Gulf Coast tonight, and then move east to off the SE coast by Saturday. We have been talking about this system for several days now. The forecast really hasn’t changed that much. We still expect light precipitation to break out late Friday night and continue on into the day Saturday. This system is looking weaker now which we expect will keep precipitation amounts on the lighter side. The system still doesn’t have much cold air to work with either and because of this we continue to expect mostly rain across the SW NC mountains and on into the NC Foothills. Of note, though, the highest elevations of SW NC (ie. above 5000’) could see some snow mix in at times. While things could change, confidence is growing that this system won’t be that big of a deal for SW NC and the Foothills.

The weather pattern remains active on into Christmas week. The next system is forecast to ride up along the East Coast Sunday and Monday bringing another round of rain. The heaviest rain will likely hold off until Sunday night, but light rain could arrive as early as Sunday afternoon. The rain tapers off on Monday, but clouds will stick around for awhile. Yet another system is forecast to move through Tuesday / Tuesday night with more rain showers possible. On the back side of that system, enough cold air may work in for flurries or snow showers Tuesday night in the mountains. Flurries or snow showers may linger into Wednesday across the mountains, but otherwise dry conditions can be expected into Christmas Eve. Right now, Christmas Day looks mostly dry and cool.

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