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NWS Winter Storm Watch (Buncombe County)

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Asheville UNCA , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, October 30, 2014 at 7:24AM

More Tricks Than Treats

Nothing about this week would have you thinking snow this weekend...not even the next couple of days. Today will be very nice, lots of sun and comfortable temperatures. Friday is a notch cooler with more clouds and rain showers arriving by the evening. Yes, it will be a close call in terms of rain for Trick-or-Treaters Halloween night.

The main event kicks into gear late Friday night as shockingly colder air invades from the northwest. Rain showers eventually changeover to snow showers after midnight continuing Saturday as a rain/snow mix. Will there be enough to turn the ground white? See the discussion section below.

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Thursday

Hi: 63 Lo: 37

Mostly sunny; Cooler; Light North wind
Friday

Hi: 59 Lo: 31

Partly cloudy daytime; More clouds Halloween night with rain showers changing to snow showers after midnight; Light SW wind becoming NW 10-20 mph with gusts to 35 mph Fri. night.
Saturday

Hi: 41 Lo: 30

Mostly cloudy & chilly; Windy; Morning flurries and snow showers changing to sprinkles; NW wind15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph
Sunday

Hi: 49 Lo: 31

Sunny skies; Still cool though not as chilly
Monday

Hi: 59 Lo: 38

Sunny skies; Several notches milder

Further Out

Tuesday - Scattered clouds; Pleasant; High in the mid 60s; Low in the mid 40s
Wednesday - Partly cloudy; Chance for showers Wed. night; High in the upper 60s; Low in the upper 40s

Forecast Discussion

Tranquil weather is the story today as high pressure builds across the Ohio Valley. Consider it the "calm before the storm".

A strong upper disturbance is barreling southeast from northern Canada today, through the Great Lakes Friday, and exits via the Carolinas Saturday. Here is the rundown:

Light rain develops Friday evening changing to light snow and snow showers after midnight.
Snow showers and flurries continue Saturday morning before changing to light rain or sprinkles during the day. Note, it is not a "steady eddy" all day event, more sporadic in nature.
As things cool down Saturday night, light rain/sprinkles changes back over to light snow showers or flurries before tapering off.

Meanwhile it will be a windy and very cold Saturday. Snow accumulations for the immediate Asheville area will generally be in the dusting range. Northern Buncombe and elevations above 3500' will see a little more. The highest snowfall totals will occur in the northern mountains and westward facing locations along the immediate TN border.

High pressure arrives Sunday, it will remain cool, but not nearly as chilly. Temperatures moderate quickly heading into the work week with the next shot of rain Wednesday night and Thursday.

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