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Asheville UNCA , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, October 2, 2014 at 7:02AM

Nice October Day

Today will see lots of sunshine and above normal temperatures, making for a nice October day. As we mentioned yesterday, enjoy it if you can as changes are a’coming. A strong, fall cold front brings a round of showers and a few thundershowers to the area Friday followed by a much cooler airmass for the weekend. Temperatures will go from above normal today to below/well below normal this weekend. We might even see some patchy frost Saturday night, especially in the mountain valleys. Saturday will be breezy as well making it feel even cooler.

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Thursday

Hi: 82 Lo: 58

Patchy AM fog; Partly cloudy & warm daytime, then increasing clouds at night; SE wind 5-10 mph
Friday

Hi: 73 Lo: 49

Cloudy with showers and t-showers; South wind 5-15 mph & gusty, becoming NW Fri. night
Saturday

Hi: 58 Lo: 38

Partly cloudy & breezy; Much cooler; NW wind 10-20 mph & gusty, then diminishing Sat. night; Patchy valley frost possible Sat. night
Sunday

Hi: 64 Lo: 46

A chilly start, but lots of sunshine
Monday

Hi: 72 Lo: 52

Partly cloudy daytime, then increasing clouds Mon. night

Further Out

Tuesday - Mostly cloudy; Showers possible; High in the upper 60s; Low in the lower 50s
Wednesday - Decreasing clouds; High in the lower 70s; Low in the upper 40s

Forecast Discussion

Warm today, but changes coming…

So first off, on the weather map, high pressure is anchored in across the eastern US and a strong cold front is taking shape across the Plains. It’s that front that will bring the big temperature change to western NC over the weekend. Today, though, will be nice and warm after some patchy morning fog. Temperatures this afternoon will run 5-10 degrees above normal for early October.

Clouds begin to increase from west to east late tonight and into Friday morning as the cold front nears. A band of showers and a few embedded thundershowers associated with the front will reach the NC mountains Friday morning then the Foothills by late Friday morning. Showers and a few thundershowers will linger through much of the day before tapering off later Friday evening. In the mountains, some light rain or drizzle may linger a bit longer (mainly right along the NC/TN border).

Once the front passes through, a much cooler airmass will begin to move in on a gusty, NW wind. You will really be able to tell the difference come Saturday/Sunday with a 15-25 degree temperature change expected between today and this weekend. Overnight Saturday into Sunday morning we expect widespread 30’s in the mountains and upper 30’s to low 40’s in the Foothills. If the wind dies down enough, we could be looking at some patchy frost Saturday night, mainly in the mountains. Of note, though, if temperatures get a bit colder in the Foothills than currently forecast, there could also be some patchy frost in some of the typically colder locations.

The evolution of the weather pattern early next week remains unclear, but for now we are still expecting the next storm system to arrive Tuesday with a round of rain.

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