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Asheville Airport , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Friday, November 21, 2014 at 6:58PM

Chilly Night

High pressure will provide cool, dry conditions through Saturday evening across western NC. Tonight will be chilly, especially in the valleys. Clouds increase Saturday evening ahead of the next storm system which will bring widespread rain to the area on Sunday. The rain tapers off late Sunday night, but a shower or two may linger into early Monday morning. The big story Monday will be very mild temperatures with highs expected to reach the 60’s for most of SW NC (50’s higher up). A cold front then comes through Monday night with a return to chilly conditions expected for the rest of the Thanksgiving week.

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Friday

Hi: 52 Lo: 25

Clear & chilly tonight; North wind 5-10 mph early, then light
Saturday

Hi: 51 Lo: 37

Mostly sunny daytime; Increasing clouds Sat. night with light rain or drizzle developing late; SE wind 5-10 mph
Sunday

Hi: 54 Lo: 48

Cloudy & rainy, especially daytime (the rain could be heavy at times); SE wind 10-15 mph & gusty
Monday

Hi: 66 Lo: 37

Mostly to partly cloudy & mild; A few rain showers possible early
Tuesday

Hi: 53 Lo: 31

Partly cloudy; Cooler; Clouds increase Tue. night

Further Out

Wednesday - Partly sunny; Flurries possible; High in the lower 40s; Low in the upper 20s
Thursday - Partly sunny; Flurries possible for Thanksgiving Day; High near 40 degrees; Low in the lower 20s

Forecast Discussion

High pressure settling in tonight will keep the weather quiet and cool Saturday evening. Temperatures will be on the chilly side tonight, especially in valleys.

An area of low pressure developing in Texas will move NE over the next few days, reaching the Great Lakes on Monday. As it does so, it will send a cold front across the eastern US, reaching western NC Monday night. Moisture will quickly increase Saturday night well ahead of the front as an upper level disturbance moves NE out of the Gulf of Mexico. That disturbance will move through the Carolinas on Sunday producing widespread rain through late Sunday night. The rain could be heavy at times during the day Sunday.

In the wake of the disturbance, we expect more sunshine and fewer showers on Monday. Additionally, a southerly wind ahead of the front will make for a noticeably milder day. Temperatures are forecast to rise well into the 60’s for much of SW NC with upper 50’s expected in the higher elevations.

Monday night’s cold front is expected to bring back colder conditions for the latter half of the Thanksgiving week. Tuesday will be noticeably cooler than Monday, but the coldest air holds off until Wednesday. As the colder air filters in next week, we will be keeping an eye on the potential of low pressure developing off the coast of the Carolinas. It’s possible that enough moisture could make it into western NC for flurries Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day. Otherwise, expect chilly conditions/below normal temperatures through Thanksgiving.

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