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NWS Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Buncombe County)

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Asheville Airport , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, May 1, 2016 at 10:18AM

Extended Unsettled

Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy today with more showers likely and perhaps a thundershower. Lots of clouds linger on Monday with another round of showers and thundershowers expected, mainly for the afternoon and into Monday night. Looking ahead, a chance for showers will exist in our forecast every day through Friday. Another big story will be the big cooldown for last half of the workweek. We’ve been advertising Blackberry Winter, and that’s on track for Thursday and Friday.

Merlefest concludes today with more great music and memories! While it won’t be raining all day, skies will be mostly cloudy and showers and thundershowers are a good bet. By this afternoon, it will be quite a bit warmer than Saturday, however. See our MerleFest Hour-by-Hour Forecast for details.

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Sunday

Hi: 75 Lo: 57

Partly sunny; More PM showers & thunderstorms possible; SW wind 5-10 mph
Monday

Hi: 76 Lo: 56

Lots of clouds; PM & nighttime showers likely & perhaps a thunderstorm; Light SW wind
Tuesday

Hi: 72 Lo: 50

Mostly cloudy with daytime showers likely; Light wind becoming NW 5-10 mph late
Wednesday

Hi: 64 Lo: 45

Intervals of clouds & sunshine with a risk for showers; Cooler
Thursday

Hi: 56 Lo: 41

Lots of clouds; A couple showers around; Much cooler

Further Out

Friday - Mix of clouds & sun; A daytime shower or two; Brisk/chilly; High in the upper 50s; Low in the lower 40s
Saturday - Perhaps some early cloudiness; Becoming mostly sunny; Not as cool; High in the upper 60s; Low in the mid 40s

Forecast Discussion

A warm front is lifting to our north this morning. That will keep us in a warm but rather unstable air mass, conducive to more showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening.

A slow moving cold front that originally appeared poised to move across the area on Monday is delayed, and won’t move cleanly east of the region before Tuesday. That means we’re going to stay in a warm and unstable set up, with another round of showers and thundershowers expected Monday afternoon. Showers continue into Tuesday as the front moves bodily through the mountains.

After that, we’re watching for a large and unseasonably cold upper level low pressure system to develop over the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic states during Thursday and Friday. It will be getting progressively cooler, starting on Wednesday. Intermittent showers will be around through this entire period. By Thursday and Friday, it could be cold enough for the mountaintop locations (elevations near or above 5,000 feet in elevation) to see some snowflakes. Crazy, but not unheard of in early May!

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