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Asheville Airport , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, September 25, 2016 at 6:23PM

It Has Begun...

The transition to more Fall-like temperatures is in the works, admittedly it wasn't very noticeable today. A subtle front worked south from Virginia this afternoon but it didn't make it to the southwestern mountains. At least it's a sign of things to come.

Tuesday, a stronger cold front makes a pass with scattered showers developing ahead of the front Monday afternoon continuing into the nighttime hours. Thanks to increased cloud cover temperatures will fall several degrees from today. We'll take the rain, but rainfall amounts aren't overly exciting. Temperatures drop step-wise a few degrees each day through Thursday... you will be reaching for a jacket shortly.

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Sunday

Hi: 84 Lo: 63

Isolated evening showers; Partly to mostly cloudy; Light SE wind
Monday

Hi: 77 Lo: 62

Patchy AM fog; Mostly cloudy & a little cooler; Scattered PM & nighttime showers & t-showers; Light South wind
Tuesday

Hi: 75 Lo: 52

Morning clouds, perhaps a lingering shower early; Brighter afternoon; NW wind 5-10 mph
Wednesday

Hi: 73 Lo: 49

Mostly sunny; Cooler & less humid
Thursday

Hi: 66 Lo: 50

Partly cloudy; Considerably cooler

Further Out

Friday - Mostly sunny; Refreshing; High in the upper 60s; Low near 50 degrees
Saturday - Lots of sunshine; Pleasant; High in the lower 70s; Low in the lower 50s

Forecast Discussion

High pressure centered over New England briefly wedges down the eastern slopes of the Appalachians Monday. Increased cloud cover will knock temps down a few more degrees. Meanwhile, a stronger cold front approaches from the west leading to scattered afternoon showers continuing into the nighttime hours. The front passes Tuesday with morning clouds and perhaps a lingering shower early.

Behind the front a persistent northwest flow ushers in considerably cooler air. Cool enough that we'll reverse the trend from above average warmth to well below seasonal temperatures by Thursday.

Side note- an upper level low that will help promote the cool turnaround may meander far enough south to bring more than just cooler days. Right now we have a dry forecast beyond Tuesday. However, if the low becomes displaced towards the southern Appalachians we'd have to introduce a few days of rain late in the week. We wouldn't complain about the rain, but it would require wholesale changes to the forecast...

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